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MARSH NOVICES CHASE BETTING PREVIEWThe Marsh Novice Chase was a brand new edition to the Cheltenham Festival in 2011 and has been dominated by Willie Mullins in the last three seasons as the Irish trainers has guided Vautour (2015), Black Hercules (2016) and Yorkhill (2017) to victory. Although young, the Marsh Novices' Chase has quickly become an important part of the Cheltenham Festival and we expect to continue to see that over the coming years. It's a Grade 1 chase run over two miles and four furlongs, for horses aged five years and upwards, with a prize money of £150,000.
The race will attract plenty of top-class horses as it falls between the 2 mile Arkle Challenge trip and the 3 mile RSA Chase distance.
Who will win the Marsh Novices' Chase 2021?We'll take a closer look at this year's Marsh Novices Chase and try to determine which horse is likely to prevail in this much anticpated renewal.
ENVOI ALLEN is unbeaten so far in his bumper, hurdles and chasing career. He has won all 11 career starts to date, including the Ballymore Novices' at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival. Gordon Elliott's stable star has recorded two wins hard on the bridle over fences this season, including the Grade 1 Drinmore Chase at Fairyhouse at the end of November.
SHAN BLUE was unbeaten in three starts over fences before being out battled up the Sandown hill last month by a rejuvenated Sporting John. Dan Skelton's seven-year-old is rapidly improving and he may surprise a few on the day.
MONKFISH has an entry here but he is expected to take up his option in the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase over the longer trip of three miles on Wednesday.
CHANTRY HOUSE has improved after back surgery. He has won two starts over fences but disappointed at Prestbury Park back in December. Nicky Henderson's 7-year-old looked much improved when winning at Wetherby last time out, and he can challenge for the places.
His stablemate FUSIL RAFFLES will also run with big credentials, with two victories under his belt at the Gloucestershire course this season already. He beat Quick Grabim and Gumball relatively easily on his chase debut and followed that up at Cheltenham over 2m beating Sir Valentine and Getaway Trump. Finally, he took his record over fences to three-from-four on the same card, having been pulled up at Cheltenham on his previous start.
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Dark Horses?CHATHAM STREET LAD was an impressive handicap winner at Cheltenham in December while last season’s Champion Hurdle third DARVER STAR could be a threat if the ground is suitable.
ASTERION FORLONGE and BLACKBOW are possible contenders for Willie Mullins. The former fell at the first at Punchestown against Envoi Allen last time out. We’ve not seen the best of him yet over fence and his jumping skills remain questionable. Blackbow looked a natural over the larger obstacles when continuing Mullins’ domination of the beginners’ chase at Navan four months ago. He an a creditable second in the Irish Arkle, but was unable to get near Energumene in the run-in.
At the moment, the most backed horses are the following:
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MARSH NOVICES CHASE TRENDS
- 9 of the 10 winners came from the top 4 in the betting and returned 7/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners won on their last run before the Marsh Novices Chase
- 9 of the last 10 past winners had run at the Festival before (5 had won)
- 10 of the last 10 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles
- 8 of the last 10 winners had at least 3 wins over hurdles
- 9 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7
- 9 of the last ten winners were officially rated 144+
MARSH NOVICES CHASE PREDICTIONSThe following section contains our recommended bets on the Marsh Novices' Chase 2021. Feel free to copy our Cheltenham Festival tips and get the highest odds available on the market by clicking the 'Bet' button! Furthermore, find here our NAP of the Day!
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