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Supreme Novices betting tips, predictions, preview and free bets (DAY 1 - March 13, 2018)

  • Written by David Bet
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The Supreme Novices' Hurdle traditionally gets the Cheltenham Festival underway. The race is for four year olds and upwards and is run over two miles and half a furlong on the old course. The race is considered to be the most prestigious 2 mile hurdle race for Novices of the season and Labaik won last year's race. Find below our Cheltenham 2018 Supreme Novices' race preview, with odds, tips, predictions, trends, free bets and betting promotions.

2018 CHELTENHAM DAY 1 TIPS AND PREDICTIONS 

Are you looking for all the 2018 Cheltenham predictions? Visit our Cheltenham betting tips section here!


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SUPREME NOVICES BETTING PREVIEW 

The Supreme Novices' Hurdle is a popular race amongst punters as they try and get off to a winning start at the Cheltenham Festival. It’s a Grade 1 National Hunt hurdle contest, run over two miles and half-a-furlong, for horses aged four years and upwards. The race has been dominated by Willie Mullins with three wins from the last five years but last season's edition was won by the 25/1 shot Labaik under young jockey Jack Kennedy for trainer Gordon Elliott.

And now we'll take a closer look at this year's Supreme Novices' Hurdle and try to determine which horse is likely to prevail.

GETABIRD is unbeaten in his two hurdles starts to date, and he created a big impression when trouncing the high-class Mengli Khan in the recent Moscow Flyer Hurdle, coming home impressively by nine lengths from a small but talented field. If there is a negative it could be that all of Getabird's wins and completed starts have been when racing on right handed tracks.

KALASHNIKOV was an impressive bumper winner who has flourished over hurdles and has a lofty reputation despite a reverse on heavy ground in the Tolworth. He won the Betfair Hurdle recently, powering clear of a quality field to score by four lengths over Bleu Et Rouge.

CLAIMANTAKINFORGAN proved himself a high-class performer in bumpers, scoring at Haydock before finishing a fine third in the Champion Bumper at last years’ Festival. This horse has enjoyed a great start to the winter, tasting success at Newbury and Ascot and there is still plenty of room for improvement.

FIRST FLOW has won all three starts over hurdles this season - including a ten lengths’ defeat of Midnight Shadow at Haydock in January to claim the Grade Two Rossington Main Hurdle. He has better form chance than odds suggest, especially if conditions turn testing.

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SUMMERVILLE BOY won the Tolworth on heavy ground beating Kalashnikov. He has course experience of Cheltenham having finished placed in a couple of Novice hurdles.

SIMPLY THE BETTS was runner-up in the Musselburgh race won by Beyond The Clouds, finishing ahead of Claimantakinforgan who was a shade disappointing. He is yet to win over hurdles, and he was soundly beaten by If The Cap Fits at Kempton on Boxing Day

MENGLI KHAN was the antepost favourite for a few weeks back in the autumn after winning successive Graded events at Navan and Fairyhouse. He crashed through the wings of the second last whilst leading the Grade 1 Future Champions Hurdle at Leopardstown over Christmas. His only start since then was the aforementioned defeat to Getabird.

US AND THEM finished a creditable second of four to Duca de Thaix in Grade 3 contest last time. He won his first two starts over hurdles, following maiden success at Cork.

PALOMA BLUE brings some solid form to the table, including chasing home Fayonagh in last season’s Punchestown Champion Bumper. He travelled like a dream last time at Leopardstown before being outgunned by Samcro late-on.

SLATE HOUSE scored in his first two starts over hurdles at Cheltenham in the autumn and finished fourth to Claimantakinforgan at Ascot next time. He finished a long way behind Santini in fifth when stepped up in trip to contest the Classic Novices' Hurdle at this venue in January.

SHARHAH is another Mullins / Ricci contender. He has won two early season contests without breaking sweat and would probably have taken that eventful Future Champions Hurdle at Christmas but for falling at the last. Comfortably beaten by Samcro last time out.

LOSTINTRANSLATION  had looked progressive prior to failing to beat a rival home behind First Flow in the mud at Haydock, and better ground would surely aid the chances of Colin Tizzard's charge.

DEBUCHET, WESTERN RYDER and DAME ROSE are the dark horses of the race.


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The section below contains the most backed entries at the moment:

  • 888 Sport Betting BonusGetabird  2.75Bet
  • William Hill Betting BonusKalashnikov  5.50Bet
  • Boylesports Betting BonusSummerville Boy  11.00Bet
  • Ladbrokes Betting BonusFirst Flow  13.00Bet
  • Unibet Betting BonusMengli Khan  13.00Bet
  • 10Bet Betting BonusPaloma Blue  15.00Bet
  • BetBright Betting BonusClaimantakinforgan  15.00Bet

All the bookmakers we recommend are offering No Runner No Bet on every Cheltenham Festival race.


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SUPREME NOVICES TRENDS 

  • 10 of the last 12 favourites have been beaten
  • 17 of the last 19 winners won on their last appearance before the Cheltenham Festival
  • Irish- trained horses have a great record in the race in recent years, having won 11 of the last 16 runnings
  • 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
  • 11 of the last 12 winners were rated 138 or higher
  • The Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle has produced two winners and a second in the last four years
  • Ruby Walsh has ridden 4 of the last 7 winners
  • Willie Mullins has trained 3 of the last 5 winners

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SUPREME NOVICES PREDICTIONS

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  • 888 Sport Betting BonusGetabird  2.75Bet
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