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Many people who start out in sports trading often end up making the same
mistakes and some also end up giving up for the same reasons too. It seems there are many misconceptions about Betfair trading and this
article is going to identify some of them. If you are just starting out
or are on your way to becoming a profitable trader then this article
should hopefully help you avoid having the wrong idea of what Betfair
Trading is all about
1. Trading Timescales
You must make sure that you match the timescale of your prediction of
the price's movement with the amount of time you hold your position.
A classic mistake is trading on the favourite's price three minutes
before the race and you see that the price is being backed heavily and
is thus shortening (decreasing). You think that this horse has a really
good chance of winning so in addition to trading you decide to back it.
WRONG!!! If you do that you are basing a short term
trading decision on a long term view of the price. The timescale of your
prediction of the price, i.e. that the price will go down because the
horse will win the race, is different from the intended timescale of
your trade.
You intended to make a profit in a minute or less. Now unless you're
going to hold the bet until the race has finished then you can't base
trading decisions on where you think the price will be when the race has
finished.
2. Not getting out instantly
To avoid losses traders have to be extremely short term.
To trade without knowing anything about what is going on, you have to
assume that any movement against you is going to carry on going against
you in the most painful way it can. This isn't too drastic of an
assumption, as anyone that's held onto a losing trade only to see it get
worse and worse will agree.
Without any knowledge to the contrary you have to assume the worst,
and the only protection against this is not to be in harm's way: The
less time you're in a position, the less can go wrong.
Take your profits quickly and your scratch trades and losses even
quicker. By quickly I mean instantly, profit scratch or loss you should
be out, or at least have your counter trade in, within 10 or 20 seconds
at the most.
3. Not doing scratch trades
The scratch trade is where you lay and back the selection at the same price.
There is a tendency amongst new traders to see the scratch trade as a
waste of time. Once someone has made a scratch trade, only to then see
the price move the right way they tend to stop doing them. The new
trader can't get it out of his mind that the scratch trade just cost him
a profit and stops doing them.
However, human nature will always make us dwell on what we just
missed out on without appreciating what we've got. A scratch trade that
gets you out of the market before the price suddenly turns against you
is soon forgotten about as the trader quietly congratulates his trading
skills and quickly forgets all about it.
A missed profit has a different effect on many people than a saved loss of the same size has.
The fewer scratch trades you do the more losses you will have, that is a
fact, so therefore you need more profits just to get back the extra
that you're losing. It's far better to not lose and then to not win than
it is to lose and then win.
4. Letting losing trades ride as bets
To be a successful trader you must be taking profits and losses of
roughly the same size, but having more profits than losses, the scratch
trade taking the place of the losses.
As soon as you start to let your losses get bigger than your profits
you're creating an uphill battle for yourself because then you need to
have lots more profits than losses just to break even.
The absolute worst thing you can do is hold on to a trade because it
went against you and let it ride as the race runs. Risking your whole
bank because you couldn't accept a small one or two-tick loss is stupid.
This is gambling at its worst. If you want to gamble then gamble but at
least do it properly. Don't do a hybrid mix of trading and gambling
where you're doing each one badly. You know that in the long run it's
going to end in tears so why do it?
There's no point in winning nine times and losing once if your loss
is 50 times the size of your profit. That instantly wipes out more than a
whole day of successful trading. Anyone with such a complete lack of
discipline not only will lose but deserves to lose.
5. Reading form and watching racing
As a short-term trader the last things you should do are read form
and watch racing on television. This is for people who wish to gamble on
the outcome of the race.
Not only are they distractions from trading but they implant biases in
the trader's mind that detract from his ability to concentrate solely on
the numbers and the patterns of movement they create. A trader
shouldn't read the racing paper or switch on the television and should
only log in to Betfair at the most 20 minutes before the first race.
6. Wanting to enjoy the racing
Trading is often described as boring and detracting from the
enjoyment of racing. This may be the case but horse racing is of no
concern to the trader so this comment is meaningless. Horse racing has
nothing to do with what a trader is doing.
Wanting to enjoy the racing or enjoy your betting is fine but you
cannot trade successfully at the same time. You can do one or the other
but not both. Trading requires concentration and dedication and if
you're watching horse racing at the same time then you are being
unprofessional.
7. Over-thinking trades
Over-thinking trades has two drawbacks: firstly, cuts down their
potential to make money by limiting the number of trades and secondly
when the trigger is pulled they have put so much thought and effort into
their trade that they fall in love with it. They are unwilling to get
out of such a trade with an almost-instant scratch trade or an
almost-instant small loss. This is why people ride their losses and end
up gambling due to their inability to accept so quickly that they were
wrong.
Instead of entering into a trade with the confidence that you are
right, each trade should instead be entered with the assumption that you
are wrong with a willingness to react correctly if indeed you are
wrong. As much as you may have built up your reasoning for the trade you
just did, you must remember that you don't actually know anything about
what is going on and it's alright to be wrong.
8. Not purchasing specialist trading software
If you wish to make money purely from trading, then it is worth every
penny in subscribing to specialist software such as BetTrader PRO. They
say necessity is the mother of invention and that's definitely the case
with these products.
The Betfair interface has been developed to cater for many different
types of customer. If you want to specialise in trading and especially
scratch trading, then invest in a specialist product. Having live price
feeds and one click bet submission at any price, lay or back, gives the
trader the absolute flexibility he needs to turn on a sixpence which the
Betfair website and most other trading applications don't allow. It's
the old adage - you need to spend money to make money. Visit the Betfair Solutions Directory
for further information on trading applications built by Betfair
licensed software vendors. There are a variety of programmes available
with a wide range of features, suitable for every type of trader.
9. Getting distracted
Don't check emails, answer the phone, use instant messenger, other
websites or the Betfair forum while the racing is on, this includes the
slack period between races when you have 'greened up your position'.
That's the time where you can sit back for a few minutes while nothing
much is happening and relax a bit, but you must still watch the price
and be aware of what is happening.
It is very easy to get distracted and effect your trading. To really
get in the groove you have to concentrate on every race, moving onto the
next race when that one is due to start. Don't take your eyes from the
screen except when nature calls. If you smoke then smoke in front of the
computer or not at all, nipping out for a cigarette will cost you
thousands of pounds over the course of a year.
The key is to concentrate for three and a half hours. You are a
trader and nothing else, you'll be surprised how much better you trade
when you don't allow any outside distractions of any kind, letting
yourself be absorbed by what you are doing and really seeing the
movements and imagining what they might do next.
10. Trading for a profit of a pre-determined size
Many people decide how much they want to make out of a trade before
they enter it and then set their exit price according to that rather
than what it looks like they can reasonably get now. Wanting to make two
ticks is great but putting your counter-trade in two ticks higher than
you just laid at is gambling, not trading.
It may go up but likewise could come in, if you can't get out
straight away with a profit you should ask for a smaller profit. If you
can't get the smaller profit straight away you should scratch, and if
you miss the scratch trade you should take a small loss. If instead of
all that you remain motionless with your counter-trade still in at the
same price waiting for your two tick profit then you are gambling and
will have your share of profits but also your share of big losses.
Summary
Betfair Guide Step 1: Getting started
Betfair Guide Step 2: Placing a Bet
Betfair Guide Step 3: Lay Betting
Betfair Guide Step 4: Making use of the settings
Betfair Guide Step 5: Additional features
Betfair Guide Step 6: Trading, Cold Trading and Trading In-Play
Betfair Guide Step 7: Advantages of Exchanges and Sport Trading
Betfair Guide Step 8: Ten common mistakes made by traders
Betfair Guide Step 9: Trading with discipline
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