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Poirier vs McGregor 3 Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds (UFC 264)

  • Written by David Bet
Poirier vs McGregor 3 Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds (UFC 264)
On Saturday, July 10, the legacies of both Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor are on the line. The Irishman will be looking to defy the odds this weekend at UFC 264 and secure another title shot and a chance to return to the throne. Our UFC tipsters previews the Poirier vs McGregor 3 fight and gives their predictions, best bets and insights. Plus, you will find tons of betting promotions and price boosts on the bout.

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When is UFC 264?  

UFC 264 takes place on Saturday 10 July at a full-capacity T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, the city where they first fought.

The early preliminary card will kick off at about 11pm BST on Saturday night.

The prelims follow at 1am BST on Sunday morning, before the main card gets under way at 3am BST.

The main event between McGregor and Poirier likely not getting underway until between 5am and 6am on Sunday morning.

In the UK, the card will be available on BT Sport Box Office. Those who purchase the pay-per-view will also be able to stream it live on the BT Sport website and app.

What happened in the first two fights? 

Dustin Poirier defeated Conor McGregor earlier this year as the American knocked out the Notorious, becoming the first man to defeat him via KO/TKO. Former two-weight world champion McGregor lamented his inactivity after suffering a third defeat in only his second UFC appearance since October 2018

Actually, it was a rematch as the Irish fighter beat the Diamond at UFC 178 back in 2014 when McGregor took the win in less than two minutes by knockout.

Poirier turned down the opportunity for a lightweight title fight while instead opting for the payday and accolades associated with a third clash against the Irishman McGregor.

The third fight will end the trilogy and decide who will fight current UFC Lightweight champion Charles Oliveira later this year.

There have been 13 trilogies that have been fought exclusively in the UFC. Entering the third fight, the fighter who wins the second fight also wins the third 70% of the time.

Dustin Poirier v Conor McGregor 3: Betting Preview

Between the two fights against Poirier, Conor McGregor went on to become interim featherweight champion by defeating Chad Mendes and ended Jose Aldo’s long undisputed title run and unbeaten streak in mere seconds. The Irishman split a pair of legendary bouts with Nate Diaz before stopping Eddie Alvarez to add UFC lightweight title to his resume. The Dubliner then pursued a boxing match with Floyd Mayweather before returning unsuccessfully to get the lightweight belt back from the unbeaten and now retired Khabib Nurmagomedov. McGregor fought once in 2020, knocking out Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone in under a minute.

Dustin Poirier moved up to 155 after the loss to McGregor and got his momentum back. The Diamond recorded 10 consecutive wins, including the prestigious scalps of Anthony Pettis, Eddie Alvarez and Justin Gaethje. He also defeated Max Halloway at UFC 236 to win the interim lightweight belt but he lost the title shot against Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 242. Then he win in comeback fashion over Dan Hooker at UFC Vegas 4 in June 2020. When Poirier met again McGregor in January of this year, the American executed the perfect game plan, neutralizing his opponent with leg kicks before scoring a devastating second-round TKO.

McGregor truly has one path to victory and that's a knockout. Of his 22 career wins, 19 have come by way of knockout with only two decisions and one submission. He should avoid the Poirier leg-kick strategy that proved his undoing last time out. The American will impose a similar game plan to the one he utilized in their second bout, but with further emphasis on getting this fight to the ground, where he holds a distinct advantage.

Poirier vs McGregor 3 Odds & Price BoostsPoirier is a 17/20 favourite with SportingIndex, while Conor McGregor is a 11/4 underdog with SportNation in the latest Poirier vs. McGregor 3 odds.

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Our Poirier vs McGregor Predictions 

McGregor has compiled a 3-3 record in his last six UFC appearances and has only one win since 2017. The Irishman’s insatiable lust for success, money and lifestyle has unquestionably softened his fighting personality and allowed him to transition more into a celebrity rather than a fighter.

Poirier possesses some of the most fluid boxing skills in MMA today and complements these abilities with a solid ground attack.

As a result we back Poirier to win the fight. We believe the American can stop McGregor in round 2 or 3, probably via submission this time.

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Looking for UFC predictions on all the upcoming events? We got you covered!

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Full UFC 264 Fight Card   

There are 13 fights across the evening in Las Vegas, with the full fight card found below:

UFC 264 - T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas


Main Card

  • Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor, Lightweight
  • Gilbert Burns vs. Stephen Thompson, Welterweight
  • Tai Tuivasa vs. Greg Hardy, Heavyweight
  • Irene Aldana vs. Yana Kunitskaya, Women’s Bantamweight
  • Sean O’Malley vs. Kris Moutinho, Bantamweight

Preliminary card

  • Carlos Condit vs. Max Griffin, Welterweight
  • Michel Pereira vs. Niko Price, Welterweight
  • Ryan Hall vs. Ilia Topuria, Featherweight
  • Dricus du Plessis vs. Trevin Giles, Middleweight
  • Jessica Eye vs. Jennifer Maia, Women’s Flyweight
  • Omari Akhmedov vs. Brad Tavares, Middleweight
  • Jerome Rivera vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov, Flyweight
  • Alen Amedovski vs. Hu Yaozong, Middleweight



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