King George VI Chase Betting Preview and Predictions (Boxing Day 2011)

Sunday, 25 December 2011

The King George VI Chase at Kempton Park on Boxing Day is the major championship staying chase in the first half of the National Hunt season and is regarded as the pre-cursor to the Cheltenham Gold Cup in March. The big two on show in the King George VI Chase betting stakes are Long Run and Kauto Star. Read on our betting preview and predictions!

King George VI Chase PreviewKauto Star was edged out last year in the race, with young upstart Long Run taking the honours. But after a fantastic showing at the Betfair Chase at Haydock last month, where Kauto Star demolished Long Run by eight lengths to win, there has been much more renewed interest in him for the big feature of Boxing Day. Kauto Star has already won this race four times!

That defeat broke Long Run’s undefeated 2011, but will no doubt be back and keen to impress at the race which won him so many plaudits last season. Long Run will be looking for a repeat performance, which saw him run home twelve lengths clear of nearest challenger Riverside Theatre, with Kauto Star flailing another seven lengths back again.

Champion trainer Paul Nicholls also has Clive Smith’s Master Minded in the race as well, launching a double attack on the race. Master Minded did not have the best of seasons in in 2010-11, finishing 8th in the 2011 Queen Champion Chase – a disastrous result in a race he has dominated for so long. He bounced back to win the Melling Chase at the Aintree Festival, and has also shown promising early-season form with a win in the Grade 2 Amlin 1965 Chase in November.

The Phillip Hobbs trained Captain Chrise was just about to claim Medermit at the final obstacle before belatedly unseating Richard Johnson in the Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter.The youngster has been running very well this year, with plenty of wins under his belt in a busy 2011 and we suspect a flat track three miles will be his perfect set-up and as long as he puts in a clear round. The recent report that Captain Chris is bouncing at home has prompted a surge of support for the second season chaser and he is now as low as 6/1 from 8/1.

Henrietta Knight, trainer of previous winner Best Mate, saddles Somersby. Another stepping up to three miles, he has been beaten by Master Minded four times in previous meetings but could arguably be the most likely to appreciate the step up in trip. Often staying on at the end of races he allowed Gauvain too much rope in the Peterborough Chase but was staying on nicely up the straight.

The much lauded Diamond Harry should make an interesting prospect, but he faded badly in the Betfair Chase in November, finishing 18 lengths back of winner Kauto Star. Nacarat and Golan Way are simply outsiders.

http://ff.connextra.com/resources/PaddyPower/RacingPost_JT/468x60_racing2011_100.gif

King George VI Chase Betting OddsLong Run: 2.38 at
Kauto Star: 5.00 at
Master Minded: 6.50 at
Captain Chris: 9.00 at
Somersby: 15.00 at
Diamond Harry: 17.00 at
Golan Way: 67.00 at
Nacarat: 67.00 at

King George VI Chase Free Predictions1° Kauto Star @ 5.00
2° Long Run
3° Captain Chris

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